Leading Democrats are alarmed by the shocking survey and are urging Biden not to run for reelection

Leading Democrats are alarmed by the shocking survey and are urging Biden not to run for reelection
Getty Images

A year before the presidential election, senior Democrats expressed concern over an opinion poll that showed Joe Biden lagging Republican front-runner Donald Trump in five of the six crucial states.

According to a poll released on Sunday by the New York Times and Siena College, Trump is leading in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, while Biden is leading in Wisconsin. In 2020, Biden defeated Trump in each of the six states; however, in a fictitious rematch, the former president now has an average advantage of 48% to 44% in these states.

Join our Channel

But according to another research that was made public on Monday, Trump’s support would decline by roughly 6% in a few swing states if he were found guilty of the allegations brought against him. This may be sufficient to swing the electoral college in Biden’s favor.

However, the survey is consistent with a number of recent surveys that indicate the race is too close for many Trump opponents to feel comfortable with. Voters are expressing skepticism about Biden’s age and ability to manage the economy, given that he is the oldest US president ever, who will turn 81 later this month. This has reignited the debate over whether Biden should step down in favor of a younger nominee.

David Axelrod, a former Obama advisor, posted on X, the website that was then known as Twitter, saying, “It’s very late to change horses; plenty will happen in the coming year that no one can predict & Biden’s team says his resolve to seek is firm.” Even if he has already bucked conventional wisdom (CW), this will make people nervous—not because he is ‘bed-wetting,’ but because it is a valid issue.

“It’s time,” tweeted Bill Kristol, the director of the advocacy group Defending Democracy Together and a former Republican official. We have had good service from President Biden. I’m sure he will continue to do so for the upcoming year. However, it’s time for a selfless deed and a sense of civic duty. It’s time to give the younger generation the reins. Biden needs to declare that he will not be running in 2024.

“If Joe Biden were to step off, he would go into history as an accomplished statesman that beat Trump and achieved a great deal,” said Andrew Yang, the Democratic primary opponent of Biden in 2020. Should he choose to run again, it might be seen as one of the greatest mistakes in history and lead to a horrible second term for Trump.

Biden’s multicultural and multigenerational coalition, which is essential to his success in 2020, appears to be disintegrating, according to a poll by the New York Times and Siena. The president’s lead among Hispanic voters is in the single digits, his advantage in urban areas is half that Trump’s edge in rural areas, and he only has a one percentage point advantage among those under thirty.

A key component of Biden’s support base, black voters, are now giving Trump 22% of the vote in these states; the New York Times noted that this is a record level of support for a Republican presidential candidate in modern history. Progressive and younger voters have criticized the president for his unwavering backing of Israel in the ongoing Middle East conflict.

In swing states, survey participants express a 22-point preference for Trump over Biden when it comes to the economy. A total of 71%, including 54% of his own supporters, believe Biden is “too old.” Merely 39% of respondents had the same opinion of the 77-year-old Trump.

Three years ago, electability was a key component of Biden’s case for the nomination; nevertheless, the survey revealed that an anonymous, general Democrat was performing significantly better than Trump, leading by eight points. In the Democratic primaries, Congressman Dean Phillips of Minnesota has begun a longshot campaign against Biden, arguing that the president should drastically alter his course due to his dismal polling results.

The independent campaigns of left-leaning scholar Cornel West and environmental lawyer Robert Kennedy Jr. could further complicate the election of the next year.

Trump, who is leading the Republican primary, intends to stage a campaign rally on Wednesday instead of attending the third debate, which is scheduled to take place in Miami, Florida. On Monday, he testified in a civil fraud trial in New York. In four jurisdictions, he is also the target of 91 criminal indictments.

By making a contrast to Democratic President Obama’s triumph over Republican Mitt Romney in 2012, the Biden campaign downplayed the worries. A spokesman for Biden, Kevin Munoz, stated in a statement that predictions made more than a year in advance typically take on a slightly different appearance later on. Take our word for it, but remember that a year later, Gallup predicted that President Obama would lose by eight points.

“A year out on a decision between our winning, mainstream agenda, and Maga [Make America great again] Republicans’ unpopular extremism,” Munoz continued, describing Biden’s campaign as “hard at work reaching & mobilizing our diverse, winning coalition of voters.” In 2024, we will succeed if we put in the effort and don’t worry about the results of a poll.

The Sunday poll’s sampling error margins for each state range from 4.4 to 4.8 percentage points, which is higher than Trump’s claimed lead in Pennsylvania.

In the end, 2024 is not about re-electing Joe Biden, as veteran conservative radio presenter and host of the Bulwark podcast Charlie Sykes stated on X. It concerns the pressing need to prevent Donald J. Trump from taking office again. How is the question?

Leave a comment